Friday, March 27, 2020

Virus Thought Experiment

Virus Thought Experiment

An ignorant thinker asks your thoughts...

The Setup:

Two very similar countries.

  • Each have a 100 million population.
  • Each had the first infected come back from a trip at the same time.
  • Each has had the same rate of spread.
  • Both are now 10% infected.
Country A tests 100 thousand people.
Country B tests 10 thousand.

What are some possible headlines that, while true would be very misleading?

Are we getting the numbers in the news and from official government sources that we need to think clearly and intelligently about this situation we find ourselves in?

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